LOJİSTİK REGRESYON MODELİ İLE FİNANSAL BAŞARISIZLIK TAHMİNİ: BORSA İSTANBUL’DA BİR UYGULAMA / Predicting Financial Failure Using The Logistics Regression Model: Evidence From Istanbul Stock Exchange
نویسندگان
چکیده
Globalleşen dünyada, firmaların temel amaçları kâr elde etmek ve finansal başarılarını devam ettirmektedir. Firmalar artan rekabet koşulları krizler karşısında pazardaki varlıklarını ettiremedikleri takdirde başarısızlık ile karşı karşıya kalmaktadırlar. Çalışmada, Borsa İstanbul A.Ş. (Borsa veya BIST)’de işlem gören Ticaret Sektöründeki şirketlerin (toptan 10; perakende 13) 2017-2021 dönemine ait yıllık tabloları açıklamaları kullanılarak tahmini yapılması amaçlanmıştır. Yapılan Lojistik Regresyon analizi sonuçlarına göre 3 yıl için tahmin oranı % 86.7 93.8 oranları arasında değişmektedir. Kullandığımız modellerin doğru sınıflama göz önüne alındığında, lojistik regresyon modeli tahminlerinin işletme başarı ya da başarısızlığını önceden tahmininde iyi bir araç olduğu görülmektedir.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Uluslararas? ekonomi, i?letme ve politika dergisi
سال: 2023
ISSN: ['2587-2559']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.29216/ueip.1178850